Stevenage 1-0 Wycombe Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.45
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 34% vs market 31.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.63
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
12%
4.08
X/2
11%
7.7
X/X
17%
4.19
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
10%
6.36
2/X
5%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.1pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stevenage EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.39/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.34
-30% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
254 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 62%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
26.7 Crosses 16.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stevenage
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.37 xG 0.81
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
220 Passes 242
63% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2023 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
10.10.2023 Stevenage Stevenage 0-1 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İNTK
20.09.2022 Stevenage Stevenage 3-0 HT 1-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İNTK
24.08.2021 Stevenage Stevenage 2-2 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İNLK
08.10.2019 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Stevenage Stevenage İNTK
05.05.2018 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stevenage
1-0
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers
1.23 xG 0.77
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
153 Passes 139
51% Pass Accuracy 50%
18 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stevenage vs Wycombe Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stevenage nicked a narrow win over Wycombe Wanderers 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stevenage as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Stevenage had 52% of the ball to Wycombe Wanderers's 48%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.23 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stevenage had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stevenage and 0.67 for Wycombe Wanderers.

What was the final score of Stevenage vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Stevenage 1-0 Wycombe Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 45%, draw 28%, Wycombe Wanderers 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stevenage), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stevenage) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
24 Feb 2024
15:00 Cambridge United vs Peterborough United Analysis →
18:00 Reading vs Shrewsbury Analysis →
18:00 Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town Analysis →
18:00 Oxford United vs Leyton Orient Analysis →
18:00 Burton Albion vs Northampton Town Analysis →
18:00 Blackpool vs Bolton Wanderers Analysis →