Blackpool 4-1 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.18
6+ Goals
10%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.6
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
17%
5.06
X/2
13%
5.55
X/X
14%
4.27
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
13%
4.09
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackpool EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +21%
1.44/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.97
+29% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
235 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 69%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
18.5 Crosses 13.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackpool
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.90 xG 1.16
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
259 Passes 336
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.01.2024 Blackpool Blackpool 0-0 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İNTK
11.11.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
25.02.2020 Blackpool Blackpool 2-1 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
07.10.2019 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
04.10.2016 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Blackpool Blackpool İNTK
09.08.2016 Blackpool Blackpool 2-2 HT 0-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackpool
4-1
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
3.24 xG 1.86
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
201 Passes 414
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Blackpool vs Bolton Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackpool ran out comfortable winners over Bolton Wanderers 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Blackpool as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Blackpool had 37% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 63%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 3.24 to 1.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Blackpool and 0.83 for Bolton Wanderers.

What was the final score of Blackpool vs Bolton Wanderers?

Blackpool 4-1 Bolton Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackpool vs Bolton Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Blackpool 41%, draw 26%, Bolton Wanderers 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackpool), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Blackpool) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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