Exeter City 1-1 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
15.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.94
1/2
12%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
20%
4.69
X/2
9%
6.79
X/X
8%
4.52
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
15%
4.96
2/X
8%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Exeter City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -12%
1.17/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.40
-23% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
326 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
22.6 Crosses 16.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Exeter City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.06 xG 1.58
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
322 Passes 230
73% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2023 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 3-0 HT 3-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
01.04.2023 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
22.10.2022 Exeter City Exeter City 2-1 HT 1-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
22.03.2014 Exeter City Exeter City 3-0 HT 1-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN2
28.09.2013 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN2
09.03.2013 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Exeter City
1-1
AWAY Fleetwood Town
0.86 xG 1.26
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 9
364 Passes 220
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 28
25 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Exeter City and Fleetwood Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Exeter City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Exeter City had 59% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 41%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.86 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Exeter City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Exeter City and 1.17 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town?

Exeter City 1-1 Fleetwood Town in the England - 1st Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Exeter City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Exeter City 42%, draw 24%, Fleetwood Town 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Exeter City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Exeter City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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