Oxford United 1-2 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.19
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.68
6+ Goals
9%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 27% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.1
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
14%
4.88
X/2
8%
6.57
X/X
11%
4.4
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
14%
4.72
2/X
9%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 33%
-12% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.38/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.38
-7% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 67%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
19.6 Crosses 16.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Leyton Orient
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.20 xG 0.95
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
233 Passes 230
63% Pass Accuracy 59%
27 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-3 HT 0-2 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
30.08.2022 Oxford United Oxford United 5-0 HT 2-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İNTK
12.03.2016 Oxford United Oxford United 0-1 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
17.10.2015 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-2 HT 0-2 Oxford United Oxford United İN2
06.05.2006 Oxford United Oxford United 2-3 HT 1-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
23.11.2005 Oxford United Oxford United 1-0 HT 1-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford United
1-2
AWAY Leyton Orient
0.85 xG 0.79
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
295 Passes 321
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Oxford United vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient edged past Oxford United 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Oxford United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Oxford United had 49% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 51%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.85 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oxford United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Oxford United and 1.33 for Leyton Orient.

What was the final score of Oxford United vs Leyton Orient?

Oxford United 1-2 Leyton Orient in the England - 1st Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford United vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oxford United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 42%, draw 26%, Leyton Orient 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oxford United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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