Real Union vs Amorebieta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Union v Amorebieta — Team-Based Signals
Real Union vs Amorebieta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Real Union
İS3
4-3
HT 2-3
Amorebieta
İS3
2-0
HT 0-0
Amorebieta
İS3
Real Union 3-3 Amorebieta — Actual Match Statistics
Real Union and Amorebieta shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Real Union at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Real Union had 57% of the ball to Amorebieta's 43%, shots finished 21-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Union had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Real Union and 1.17 for Amorebieta.
What was the final score of Real Union vs Amorebieta?
Real Union 3-3 Amorebieta in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Union vs Amorebieta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Union win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Real Union 57%, draw 24%, Amorebieta 19%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Union), Under 2.5 went the other way.