Real Union 1-1 Amorebieta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.45
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-10.0pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.9pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Union EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
2.45/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.97
+65% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
390 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Union
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Amorebieta
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.01.2023 Amorebieta Amorebieta 2-1 HT 2-1 Real Union Real Union İS3
09.10.2022 Real Union Real Union 4-3 HT 2-3 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS3
27.02.2021 Real Union Real Union 2-0 HT 0-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS3
28.11.2020 Amorebieta Amorebieta 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Union Real Union İS3
23.02.2020 Real Union Real Union 0-1 HT 0-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS3
05.10.2019 Amorebieta Amorebieta 1-4 HT 0-1 Real Union Real Union İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Union
1-1
AWAY Amorebieta
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Real Union vs Amorebieta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Union and Amorebieta couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Real Union had 59% of the ball to Amorebieta's 41%, shots finished 17-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Real Union and 1.33 for Amorebieta.

What was the final score of Real Union vs Amorebieta?

Real Union 1-1 Amorebieta in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Union vs Amorebieta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Union win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Real Union 39%, draw 32%, Amorebieta 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Union), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Union) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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