Avondale Heights 3-1 Melbourne City II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.73
No
39%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-0.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
54%
+7.0pp
39%
BTTS No
46%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne City II EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
2.68/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.33
+24% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +56%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.3 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Avondale Heights vs Melbourne City II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avondale Heights got the better of Melbourne City II 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Avondale Heights as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Avondale Heights vs Melbourne City II?

Avondale Heights 3-1 Melbourne City II in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avondale Heights vs Melbourne City II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avondale Heights win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Avondale Heights 56%, draw 23%, Melbourne City II 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avondale Heights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avondale Heights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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