Kingborough Lions 3-1 Glenorchy Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.39
No
47%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.1pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.2pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.5pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenorchy Knights EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.52/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.11
-30% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kingborough Lions
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Glenorchy Knights
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
15.08.2025 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 1-1 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
21.06.2025 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 3-0 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
12.04.2025 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 0-8 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
23.08.2024 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 4-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
29.06.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 3-7 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
19.04.2024 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 2-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kingborough Lions beat Glenorchy Knights 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kingborough Lions as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glenorchy Knights led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kingborough Lions and 3.67 for Glenorchy Knights.

What was the final score of Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights?

Kingborough Lions 3-1 Glenorchy Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kingborough Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kingborough Lions 53%, draw 18%, Glenorchy Knights 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kingborough Lions), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kingborough Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
18 Apr 2026
07:00 Hume City vs St. Albans Saints Analysis →
07:00 Edgeworth Eagles vs Charlestown City Blues Analysis →
07:30 Riverside Olympic vs Launceston United Analysis →
08:00 Brindabella Blues vs Canberra FC Analysis →
08:00 Queanbeyan City vs Cooma Tigers Analysis →
08:00 O Connor Knights vs Gungahlin Juventus Analysis →