Kingborough Lions 3-7 Glenorchy Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
43%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.17
Over 2.5
66%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.32
No
43%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+6.7pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.8pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-5.9pp
34%
Under 2.5
28%
+6.3pp
66%
Over 2.5
72%
-6.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
72%
-14.5pp
43%
BTTS No
28%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenorchy Knights EU Bookmakers 54%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-28% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kingborough Lions
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Glenorchy Knights
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2024 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 2-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
25.08.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-0 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
30.06.2023 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 4-0 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
21.04.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 0-1 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
09.09.2022 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 1-0 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
16.07.2022 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 1-4 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenorchy Knights cruised past Kingborough Lions 7-3 away from home. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Glenorchy Knights as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 7-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glenorchy Knights led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kingborough Lions and 1.50 for Glenorchy Knights.

What was the final score of Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights?

Kingborough Lions 3-7 Glenorchy Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Glenorchy Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kingborough Lions 36%, draw 21%, Glenorchy Knights 43%. The final score 3-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Glenorchy Knights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Glenorchy Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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