Glenorchy Knights 2-2 Kingborough Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
-0.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.6pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenorchy Knights EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 29%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.97/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/2.67
-51% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenorchy Knights
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Kingborough Lions
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-0 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
30.06.2023 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 4-0 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
21.04.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 0-1 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
09.09.2022 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 1-0 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
16.07.2022 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 1-4 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
14.05.2022 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-3 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Glenorchy Knights vs Kingborough Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenorchy Knights and Kingborough Lions couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Glenorchy Knights at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glenorchy Knights had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Glenorchy Knights and 1.17 for Kingborough Lions.

What was the final score of Glenorchy Knights vs Kingborough Lions?

Glenorchy Knights 2-2 Kingborough Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenorchy Knights vs Kingborough Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glenorchy Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Glenorchy Knights 51%, draw 21%, Kingborough Lions 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Glenorchy Knights) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Glenorchy Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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