Modbury Jets 2-0 Adelaide City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.0pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modbury Jets EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 33%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
3.01/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.40
+63% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modbury Jets
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Adelaide City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-2 HT 1-1 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets AVNPL
01.07.2023 Adelaide City Adelaide City 4-0 HT 2-0 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets AVSA
08.04.2023 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets 2-2 HT 1-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
26.09.2020 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-1 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets AVNPL
08.08.2020 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Modbury Jets vs Adelaide City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modbury Jets beat Adelaide City 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Modbury Jets as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Modbury Jets and 1.60 for Adelaide City.

What was the final score of Modbury Jets vs Adelaide City?

Modbury Jets 2-0 Adelaide City in the Australia - National Premier League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modbury Jets vs Adelaide City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Modbury Jets win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Modbury Jets 44%, draw 24%, Adelaide City 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Modbury Jets) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Modbury Jets) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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