Croydon Kings 2-2 Adelaide Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
36%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.63
Over 2.5
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-10.8pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.5pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+10.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
34%
+4.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
66%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.8pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Croydon Kings EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide Olympic EU Bookmakers 29%
-35% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -13%
1.46/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.37
-30% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
413 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 193 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Croydon Kings
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Adelaide Olympic
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.05.2023 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 0-1 HT 0-1 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic AVNPL
18.02.2023 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic 3-2 HT 2-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
30.07.2022 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 0-1 HT 0-1 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic AVNPL
29.04.2022 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic 1-0 HT 1-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
11.08.2021 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic 4-1 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
01.05.2021 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-1 HT 0-0 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Croydon Kings vs Adelaide Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croydon Kings and Adelaide Olympic couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Croydon Kings at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide Olympic led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Croydon Kings and 1.83 for Adelaide Olympic.

What was the final score of Croydon Kings vs Adelaide Olympic?

Croydon Kings 2-2 Adelaide Olympic in the Australia - National Premier League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Croydon Kings vs Adelaide Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Croydon Kings win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Croydon Kings 42%, draw 22%, Adelaide Olympic 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Croydon Kings) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Croydon Kings) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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