New Lambton FC 2-1 Weston Bears — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
60%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
13%
+6.4pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.4pp
60%
Away Win
69%
-9.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.6pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New Lambton FC EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston Bears EU Bookmakers 75%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.41/2.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.95/0.88
-61% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +2%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
228 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 502 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New Lambton FC
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Weston Bears
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2023 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 0-4 HT 0-2 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
07.05.2023 Weston Bears Weston Bears 5-3 HT 3-2 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC AVNPL
POST-MATCH New Lambton FC vs Weston Bears
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New Lambton FC nicked a narrow win over Weston Bears 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Weston Bears at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Weston Bears led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for New Lambton FC and 4.50 for Weston Bears.

What was the final score of New Lambton FC vs Weston Bears?

New Lambton FC 2-1 Weston Bears in the Australia - National Premier League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New Lambton FC vs Weston Bears?

Before kick-off our model rated an Weston Bears win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split New Lambton FC 19%, draw 21%, Weston Bears 60%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Weston Bears) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Weston Bears) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
19 Apr 2024
12:30 Heidelberg United vs Moreland City Analysis →
12:45 Dandenong City vs South Melbourne Analysis →
13:00 Para Hills Knights vs NE MetroStars Analysis →
13:00 Modbury Jets vs Adelaide City Analysis →
13:00 Croydon Kings vs Adelaide Olympic Analysis →
13:15 Glenorchy Knights vs Kingborough Lions Analysis →