Glenorchy Knights 4-2 Kingborough Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.47
Draw
15%
4.81
Away
37%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
25%
Over 2.5
75%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.32
No
34%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
41%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
64%
-15.3pp
15%
Draw
18%
-2.3pp
37%
Away Win
19%
+17.6pp
66%
BTTS Yes
72%
-5.8pp
34%
BTTS No
28%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenorchy Knights EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.27/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/2.41
-43% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
431 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenorchy Knights
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kingborough Lions
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.06.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 3-7 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
19.04.2024 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 2-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
25.08.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-0 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
30.06.2023 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 4-0 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
21.04.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 0-1 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
09.09.2022 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 1-0 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Glenorchy Knights vs Kingborough Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenorchy Knights beat Kingborough Lions 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Glenorchy Knights as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (75%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glenorchy Knights had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Glenorchy Knights and 1.17 for Kingborough Lions.

What was the final score of Glenorchy Knights vs Kingborough Lions?

Glenorchy Knights 4-2 Kingborough Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenorchy Knights vs Kingborough Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glenorchy Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Glenorchy Knights 48%, draw 15%, Kingborough Lions 37%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Glenorchy Knights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Glenorchy Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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