Glenorchy Knights 1-1 Kingborough Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
45%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.68
Over 2.5
65%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%
1.32
No
29%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.1pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.1pp
45%
Away Win
36%
+9.2pp
35%
Under 2.5
24%
+11.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
76%
-11.1pp
71%
BTTS Yes
72%
-0.5pp
29%
BTTS No
28%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenorchy Knights EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.53/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.26
-10% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
280 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenorchy Knights
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kingborough Lions
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 27
7 Shots on Target 13
8 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.06.2025 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 3-0 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
12.04.2025 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 0-8 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
23.08.2024 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 4-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
29.06.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 3-7 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
19.04.2024 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 2-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
25.08.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-0 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Glenorchy Knights vs Kingborough Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenorchy Knights and Kingborough Lions couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kingborough Lions at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (71%) landed while over 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glenorchy Knights had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Glenorchy Knights and 2.00 for Kingborough Lions.

What was the final score of Glenorchy Knights vs Kingborough Lions?

Glenorchy Knights 1-1 Kingborough Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenorchy Knights vs Kingborough Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kingborough Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Glenorchy Knights 35%, draw 20%, Kingborough Lions 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kingborough Lions), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kingborough Lions) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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