Green Gully 0-1 Preston Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.1pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Green Gully EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston Lions EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.61/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.69
-5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +131%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 71%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Green Gully
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Preston Lions
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
02.05.2025 Preston Lions Preston Lions 3-2 HT 2-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
POST-MATCH Green Gully vs Preston Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preston Lions edged past Green Gully 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Green Gully at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Green Gully vs Preston Lions?

Green Gully 0-1 Preston Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Green Gully vs Preston Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Green Gully win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Green Gully 41%, draw 26%, Preston Lions 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Green Gully) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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