Preston Lions 3-2 Green Gully — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 2 May 2025

Preston Lions
3-2 HT 2-1
Green Gully
📅02/05/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2025

Preston Lions vs Green Gully Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Preston Lions v Green Gully — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preston Lions EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Green Gully EU Bookmakers 34%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -15%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.72
-46% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
– Crosses 25.7
– Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH Preston Lions vs Green Gully
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preston Lions squeezed past Green Gully 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Preston Lions as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Preston Lions vs Green Gully?

Preston Lions 3-2 Green Gully in the Australia - National Premier League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preston Lions vs Green Gully?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preston Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Preston Lions 45%, draw 27%, Green Gully 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Preston Lions), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Preston Lions) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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