Port Melbourne 3-3 Altona Magic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
47%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.2pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.5pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Altona Magic EU Bookmakers 59%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.01/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.89/1.23
-26% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses 22.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Melbourne
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Altona Magic
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.45 xG 0.48
49% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
257 Passes 331
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2024 Altona Magic Altona Magic 1-0 HT 0-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
23.03.2024 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 1-1 HT 0-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
19.08.2023 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 4-0 HT 2-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
13.05.2023 Altona Magic Altona Magic 0-2 HT 0-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
02.07.2022 Altona Magic Altona Magic 1-4 HT 0-3 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
02.04.2022 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 1-0 HT 0-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Port Melbourne vs Altona Magic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Port Melbourne and Altona Magic couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Altona Magic at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Melbourne had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Port Melbourne and 0.50 for Altona Magic.

What was the final score of Port Melbourne vs Altona Magic?

Port Melbourne 3-3 Altona Magic in the Australia - National Premier League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Melbourne vs Altona Magic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Altona Magic win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Port Melbourne 25%, draw 28%, Altona Magic 47%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Altona Magic), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Altona Magic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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