Sturt Lions 1-0 Adelaide City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 Apr 2026

Sturt Lions
1-0 HT 1-0
Adelaide City
📅18/04/2026 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2026

Sturt Lions vs Adelaide City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.69
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
58%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.43
No
38%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
24%
-3.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
58%
Away Win
55%
+3.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.1pp
38%
BTTS No
34%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sturt Lions v Adelaide City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturt Lions EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 59%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +17%
1.38/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/0.78
+4% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +43%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.9

Sturt Lions vs Adelaide City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturt Lions
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Adelaide City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.06.2023 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions 2-2 HT 0-1 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVSA
01.04.2023 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-0 HT 1-0 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions AVNPL
30.07.2022 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions 1-4 HT 1-2 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
30.04.2022 Adelaide City Adelaide City 3-0 HT 1-0 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions AVNPL
01.09.2021 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-0 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions AVNPL
08.05.2021 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions 0-1 HT 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
FAQ Sturt Lions vs Adelaide City
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sturt Lions edged past Adelaide City 1-0 in the Australia - National Premier League on 18 Apr 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was favoured at 62%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide City lead the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sturt Lions and 2.33 for Adelaide City.

What was the final score of Sturt Lions vs Adelaide City?

Sturt Lions 1-0 Adelaide City in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturt Lions vs Adelaide City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adelaide City win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sturt Lions 21%, draw 21%, Adelaide City 58%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Adelaide City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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