ABD (K) 3-0 Japonya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.27
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.25
6+ Goals
7%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 31% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.7pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Japonya (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.95/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.17
-11% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +123% / -54%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
35.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
21.0 Crosses 16.7
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD (K)
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Japonya (K)
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.36 xG 0.85
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
520 Passes 384
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
27.02.2025 ABD (K) ABD (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) SHEBEL
03.08.2024 ABD (K) ABD (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) OLY
06.04.2024 ABD (K) ABD (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) SHEBEL
19.02.2023 ABD (K) ABD (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) SHEBEL
28.02.2019 ABD (K) ABD (K) 2-2 HT 1-0 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) HAZ
27.07.2018 ABD (K) ABD (K) 4-2 HT 2-1 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) Dünya - Uluslar Turnuvası
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD (K)
3-0
AWAY Japonya (K)
2.56 xG 0.14
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
563 Passes 281
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 8
15 Crosses 6
POST-MATCH ABD (K) vs Japonya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABD (K) swept aside Japonya (K) 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ABD (K) as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, ABD (K) had 65% of the ball to Japonya (K)'s 35%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 2.56 to 0.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ABD (K) had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for ABD (K) and 1.17 for Japonya (K).

What was the final score of ABD (K) vs Japonya (K)?

ABD (K) 3-0 Japonya (K) in the Friendlies on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD (K) vs Japonya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split ABD (K) 44%, draw 25%, Japonya (K) 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ABD (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ABD (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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