Güney Kore (K) 1-1 Zambiya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.3pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Güney Kore (K) EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Zambiya (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-40% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
338 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 82%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Güney Kore (K)
1-1
AWAY Zambiya (K)
1.19 xG 1.16
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
400 Passes 253
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 11
POST-MATCH Güney Kore (K) vs Zambiya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Kore (K) and Zambiya (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Güney Kore (K) at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Güney Kore (K) had 58% of the ball to Zambiya (K)'s 42%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.19 to 1.16.

What was the final score of Güney Kore (K) vs Zambiya (K)?

Güney Kore (K) 1-1 Zambiya (K) in the Friendlies on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Güney Kore (K) vs Zambiya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Güney Kore (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Güney Kore (K) 49%, draw 23%, Zambiya (K) 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Güney Kore (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Güney Kore (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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