Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
71%
1.4
Draw
18%
4.36
Away
11%
6.55
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.97
Over
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.49
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
24%
3.09
6+
6%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima The Market 71%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki The Market 15%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
2.05 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.65
0.79 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.07
Average Attack Strength Bad
Average Defense Strength Average
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
420 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
29 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3W-0D-0L
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.57 xG 1.48
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
438 Passes 435
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
06.02.2026 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-3 HT 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
11.08.2018 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 HT 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP
28.04.2018 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-2 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2 - 0
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
2.31 xG 0.53
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
412 Passes 232
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
33 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-Varen Nagasaki
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sanfrecce Hiroshima got the better of V-Varen Nagasaki 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 53% for over 2.5, 48% on both teams scoring.

By the numbers, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 61% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 39%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 2.31 to 0.53.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.33 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-Varen Nagasaki Result & Final Score

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2 - 0 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J1 League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 71%, draw 18%, V-Varen Nagasaki 11%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
18 Apr 2026
07:00 Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale Analysis →
08:00 Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Red Diamonds Analysis →
09:00 Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Analysis →
10:00 Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga Analysis →