Jaguares De Cordoba 2-3 Deportivo Pasto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 39%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.26/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.76
-4% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
274 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
18.2 Crosses 15.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.85 xG 0.99
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
331 Passes 289
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.08.2024 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
06.02.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-1 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
21.10.2023 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
09.09.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 1-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
08.05.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 4-0 HT 1-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
28.03.2023 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba
2-3
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
1.54 xG 1.07
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
297 Passes 323
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
33 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Jaguares De Cordoba vs Deportivo Pasto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto edged past Jaguares De Cordoba 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Pasto found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jaguares De Cordoba had 48% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 52%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.54 to 1.07 — on chances, Jaguares De Cordoba could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Jaguares De Cordoba and 1.17 for Deportivo Pasto.

What was the final score of Jaguares De Cordoba vs Deportivo Pasto?

Jaguares De Cordoba 2-3 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaguares De Cordoba vs Deportivo Pasto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Jaguares De Cordoba 34%, draw 30%, Deportivo Pasto 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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