Gençlerbirliği 1-2 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 18 Apr 2026

Gençlerbirliği
1-2 HT 0-2
Galatasaray
📅18/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2025/2026

Gençlerbirliği vs Galatasaray Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
64%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
20%
2.81
6+ Goals
15%
8.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.31 — our 27% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
11.25
1/2
8%
20.75
1/X
5%
19.3
X/1
6%
13.85
X/2 EV+ ✗
28%
3.94
X/X
8%
6.71
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
28%
1.68
2/X
5%
16.8
Value flag · X/2 at 3.94 — our 28% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+4.0pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.0pp
64%
Away Win
66%
-2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gençlerbirliği v Galatasaray — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 70%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.03/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.24
-27% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +8%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 82%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
14.1 Crosses 19.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Gençlerbirliği vs Galatasaray Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Galatasaray
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.96 xG 1.97
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
210 Passes 498
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.11.2025 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-2 HT 0-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
02.05.2021 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-2 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
09.01.2021 Galatasaray Galatasaray 6-0 HT 4-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
01.03.2020 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-0 HT 2-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
05.10.2019 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-0 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
09.04.2018 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-0 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL

Gençlerbirliği 1-2 Galatasaray — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
1-2
AWAY Galatasaray
0.49 xG 2.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
252 Passes 345
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gençlerbirliği vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray edged past Gençlerbirliği 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gençlerbirliği had 44% of the ball to Galatasaray's 56%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.49 to 2.25 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Galatasaray's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gençlerbirliği and 2.33 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği vs Galatasaray?

Gençlerbirliği 1-2 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gençlerbirliği vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 18%, draw 18%, Galatasaray 64%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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