Galatasaray 3-2 Gençlerbirliği — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.25
Draw
13%
5.28
Away
8%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.01
2-3 Goals
41%
2.0
4-5 Goals
26%
2.81
6+ Goals
10%
7.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1.42
1/2
2%
36.0
1/X
4%
27.0
X/1
22%
3.85
X/2
2%
26.0
X/X
5%
9.42
2/1 EV+ ✓
12%
24.25
2/2
3%
23.8
2/X
5%
32.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.25 — our 12% vs market 2.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
76%
+3.7pp
13%
Draw
16%
-2.7pp
8%
Away Win
8%
-1.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
2.44/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.80
+11% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +27%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
34.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
25.0 Crosses 14.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.83 xG 0.82
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
481 Passes 221
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.05.2021 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-2 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
09.01.2021 Galatasaray Galatasaray 6-0 HT 4-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
01.03.2020 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-0 HT 2-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
05.10.2019 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-0 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
09.04.2018 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-0 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
03.11.2017 Galatasaray Galatasaray 5-1 HT 2-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
3-2
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
4.49 xG 1.88
72% Ball Possession 28%
28 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
551 Passes 164
91% Pass Accuracy 70%
54 Box Touches 19
32 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs Gençlerbirliği
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray squeezed past Gençlerbirliği 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Galatasaray had 72% of the ball to Gençlerbirliği's 28%, shots finished 28-11, expected goals 4.49 to 1.88 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Galatasaray's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Galatasaray and 0.33 for Gençlerbirliği.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Gençlerbirliği?

Galatasaray 3-2 Gençlerbirliği in the Turkey - Super League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Gençlerbirliği?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 79%, draw 13%, Gençlerbirliği 8%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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