Eyüpspor 1-1 Fatih Karagümrük — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.02
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.89
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.15
X/1 EV+ ✗
24%
4.89
X/2
12%
7.17
X/X
9%
4.81
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
7%
5.23
2/X
7%
13.9
Value flag · X/1 at 4.89 — our 24% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
46%
+7.9pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.2pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.3pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 32%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -27%
1.86/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.66
+35% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 81%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
12.7 Crosses 19.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eyüpspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
11.03.2016 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük S2-K
30.10.2015 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 2-1 HT 1-1 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor S2-K
13.02.2008 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 3-1 HT 2-1 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T2B1
06.02.2008 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük MAN
03.10.2007 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük T2-1
05.04.2007 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 2-2 HT 1-1 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T2B1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eyüpspor
1-1
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
1.29 xG 1.87
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
368 Passes 291
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eyüpspor vs Fatih Karagümrük
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eyüpspor and Fatih Karagümrük shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Eyüpspor at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Eyüpspor had 55% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 45%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.29 to 1.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Eyüpspor and 1.33 for Fatih Karagümrük.

What was the final score of Eyüpspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Eyüpspor 1-1 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - Super League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eyüpspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eyüpspor win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Eyüpspor 53%, draw 21%, Fatih Karagümrük 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eyüpspor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eyüpspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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