Viktoria Plzen 1-1 Banik Ostrava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
21%
5.39
2-3 Goals
48%
2.0
4-5 Goals
22%
2.68
6+ Goals
9%
6.58
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.39 — our 21% vs market 14.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.1pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.24/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.18
+26% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
Crosses 9.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Plzen
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Banik Ostrava
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.47 xG 0.91
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 Passes 313
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.02.2024 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 0-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
06.08.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 3-1 HT 2-1 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
16.04.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 2-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
22.10.2022 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 3-1 HT 2-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
15.05.2022 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-0 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
17.04.2022 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-1 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Plzen
1-1
AWAY Banik Ostrava
1.31 xG 0.82
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
294 Passes 332
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Viktoria Plzen vs Banik Ostrava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen and Banik Ostrava shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Viktoria Plzen at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Viktoria Plzen had 47% of the ball to Banik Ostrava's 53%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.31 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Viktoria Plzen and 0.83 for Banik Ostrava.

What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs Banik Ostrava?

Viktoria Plzen 1-1 Banik Ostrava in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs Banik Ostrava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 52%, draw 24%, Banik Ostrava 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
18 May 2024
18:00 Slovacko vs Slavia Prag Analysis →
18:00 Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Prag Analysis →