Mlada Boleslav 0-5 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
55%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.38
Over 2.5
46%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.73
No
58%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
5.11
2-3 Goals
35%
1.96
4-5 Goals
21%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.03
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.11 — our 32% vs market 14.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+5.6pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.5pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-11.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
38%
+16.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
62%
-16.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.3pp
58%
BTTS No
46%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 71%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.27/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.43/0.85
+34% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -5%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
207 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
Crosses 22.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.34 xG 1.58
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
220 Passes 372
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Box Touches 46
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-1 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
29.10.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-1 HT 2-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
05.02.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 4-1 HT 2-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
20.08.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-3 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
20.03.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-3 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
24.10.2021 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
0-5
AWAY Sparta Prag
0.40 xG 4.26
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 4
327 Passes 333
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 35
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag swept aside Mlada Boleslav 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 50% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 50%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 0.40 to 4.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 2.17 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Prag?

Mlada Boleslav 0-5 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 19%, draw 25%, Sparta Prag 55%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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