Stranraer 3-1 East Kilbride — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
2.03
Over
45%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.57
No
51%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.92
2-3
42%
1.84
4-5
17%
3.15
6+
10%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.92 — our 31% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Stranraer The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY East Kilbride The Market 42%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better
Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better
Average Attackvs comparable teams
Strong Defensevs comparable teams
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stranraer
1W-1D-0L
AWAY East Kilbride
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.05.2024 East Kilbride East Kilbride 2-2 HT 1-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
17.07.2021 Stranraer Stranraer 1-0 HT 1-0 East Kilbride East Kilbride İKLK
REVIEW Stranraer vs East Kilbride
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Stranraer put daylight between themselves and East Kilbride 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Stranraer made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stranraer had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Stranraer against 1.00 for East Kilbride.

Stranraer vs East Kilbride Result & Final Score

Stranraer 3-1 East Kilbride in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Stranraer vs East Kilbride Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Stranraer win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stranraer 40%, draw 23%, East Kilbride 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stranraer) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stranraer) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →