Arsenal (K) 5-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.11
Draw
18%
8.78
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
4.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
85%
-16.8pp
18%
Draw
8%
+9.7pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
22%
+20.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
78%
-20.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
2.67/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/1.17
+10% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +84%
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
509 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 76%
62.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
23.9 Crosses 9.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.96 xG 0.21
72% Ball Possession 28%
22 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 1
610 Passes 180
87% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2019 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
28.04.2019 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-4 HT 0-2 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
25.11.2018 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 4-1 HT 3-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal (K)
5-0
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
3.30 xG 0.95
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
504 Passes 321
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
45 Box Touches 7
22 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) cruised past Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal (K) had 60% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion (K)'s 40%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 3.30 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Arsenal (K) and 0.33 for Brighton & Hove Albion (K).

What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Arsenal (K) 5-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 68%, draw 18%, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 14%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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