Longford Town 1-1 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.31
6+ Goals
8%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
35%
Away Win
42%
-6.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 46%
-8% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.03/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/2.12
-21% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -44%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Athlone Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.03.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 3-3 HT 0-3 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
20.10.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
12.08.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-3 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
02.06.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
18.02.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 1-3 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
30.09.2022 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Longford Town and Athlone Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athlone Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Longford Town and 2.00 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Athlone Town?

Longford Town 1-1 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Longford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 37%, draw 27%, Athlone Town 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Longford Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Longford Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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