IK Oddevold 1-1 IK Brage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.2
6+ Goals
8%
20.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 32% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.67
1/2
4%
32.0
1/X
9%
14.05
X/1
12%
5.1
X/2
17%
5.42
X/X
8%
4.3
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
15%
4.0
2/X
7%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.0pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.8pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.6pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Oddevold EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Brage EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.46
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Oddevold
1-1
AWAY IK Brage
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
POST-MATCH IK Oddevold vs IK Brage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Oddevold and IK Brage couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IK Oddevold had 40% of the ball to IK Brage's 60%, shots finished 8-9.

What was the final score of IK Oddevold vs IK Brage?

IK Oddevold 1-1 IK Brage in the Sweden - Superettan on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Oddevold vs IK Brage?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Oddevold win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split IK Oddevold 40%, draw 23%, IK Brage 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (IK Oddevold), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Oddevold) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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