Skövde AIK 1-0 Östersunds FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.46
6+ Goals
7%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 31% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.76
1/2
9%
26.0
1/X
10%
12.45
X/1
13%
6.86
X/2
11%
5.02
X/X
11%
4.42
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
18%
3.04
2/X
7%
12.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.9pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skövde AIK EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 46%
+19% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.46/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/3.06
+4% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -57%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skövde AIK
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Östersunds FK
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.09.2023 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 5-1 HT 2-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
24.04.2023 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-1 HT 1-1 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
14.08.2022 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 1-3 HT 0-2 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
03.04.2022 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-3 HT 1-1 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Skövde AIK vs Östersunds FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skövde AIK edged past Östersunds FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Skövde AIK found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Skövde AIK and 2.00 for Östersunds FK.

What was the final score of Skövde AIK vs Östersunds FK?

Skövde AIK 1-0 Östersunds FK in the Sweden - Superettan on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skövde AIK vs Östersunds FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Östersunds FK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Skövde AIK 34%, draw 28%, Östersunds FK 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Östersunds FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Östersunds FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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