IFK Kumla 0-2 Grebbestads IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
27%
Away Win
34%
-7.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.9pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Kumla EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Grebbestads IF EU Bookmakers 38%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
2.64/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/2.20
+47% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Kumla
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Grebbestads IF
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
11.09.2022 IFK Kumla 1-2 HT 1-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
20.11.2021 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 2-2 HT 2-1 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
11.09.2021 IFK Kumla 3-3 HT 1-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Kumla vs Grebbestads IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grebbestads IF got the better of IFK Kumla 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Kumla at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Grebbestads IF led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for IFK Kumla and 2.33 for Grebbestads IF.

What was the final score of IFK Kumla vs Grebbestads IF?

IFK Kumla 0-2 Grebbestads IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Kumla vs Grebbestads IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Kumla win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split IFK Kumla 47%, draw 26%, Grebbestads IF 27%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IFK Kumla) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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