IK Gauthiod 1-1 BK Forward — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.29
Over 2.5
63%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
40%
-3.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
60%
+3.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.6pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Gauthiod EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY BK Forward EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.64/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.23
-9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Gauthiod
2W-0D-2L
AWAY BK Forward
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
03.09.2023 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod 2-1 HT 0-1 BK Forward BK Forward İSÇ4
13.05.2023 BK Forward BK Forward 5-1 HT 3-0 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
13.11.2021 BK Forward BK Forward 4-2 HT 0-0 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
04.09.2021 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod 1-0 HT 0-0 BK Forward BK Forward İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IK Gauthiod vs BK Forward
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Gauthiod and BK Forward shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was IK Gauthiod at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for IK Gauthiod and 2.50 for BK Forward.

What was the final score of IK Gauthiod vs BK Forward?

IK Gauthiod 1-1 BK Forward in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Gauthiod vs BK Forward?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Gauthiod win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split IK Gauthiod 46%, draw 23%, BK Forward 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IK Gauthiod), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Gauthiod) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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