Motala AIF FK 3-3 Stenungsund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.43
Over 2.5
67%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.46
No
33%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.8pp
33%
Under 2.5
38%
-4.1pp
67%
Over 2.5
62%
+4.1pp
67%
BTTS Yes
64%
+2.4pp
33%
BTTS No
36%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motala AIF FK EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenungsund EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
5.00/5.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.75
+150% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motala AIF FK
3-3
AWAY Stenungsund
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Motala AIF FK vs Stenungsund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motala AIF FK and Stenungsund couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (67%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Motala AIF FK had 64% of the ball to Stenungsund's 36%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Motala AIF FK vs Stenungsund?

Motala AIF FK 3-3 Stenungsund in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motala AIF FK vs Stenungsund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motala AIF FK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Motala AIF FK 40%, draw 26%, Stenungsund 34%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Motala AIF FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motala AIF FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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