Torino 3-1 Milan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 18 May 2024

Torino
3-1 HT 2-0
Milan
📅18/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Torino vs Milan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.29
6+ Goals
9%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.53
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.75
X/1
12%
5.17
X/2
13%
6.05
X/X
13%
3.89
2/1
12%
31.5
2/2
16%
4.42
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.2pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Torino v Milan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torino EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.37/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.67
-5% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.2 Crosses 14.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

Torino vs Milan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torino
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Milan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.74 xG 1.45
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 Passes 376
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Milan Milan 4-1 HT 3-1 Torino Torino İTA
10.02.2023 Milan Milan 1-0 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
11.01.2023 Milan Milan 0-1 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTK
30.10.2022 Torino Torino 2-1 HT 2-0 Milan Milan İTA
10.04.2022 Torino Torino 0-0 HT 0-0 Milan Milan İTA
26.10.2021 Milan Milan 1-0 HT 1-0 Torino Torino İTA

Torino 3-1 Milan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torino
3-1
AWAY Milan
0.94 xG 1.96
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
229 Passes 373
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torino vs Milan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torino saw off Milan 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Torino found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Torino had 40% of the ball to Milan's 60%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.94 to 1.96 — on chances, Milan could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Torino and 1.17 for Milan.

What was the final score of Torino vs Milan?

Torino 3-1 Milan in the Italy - Serie A on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torino vs Milan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torino win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Torino 37%, draw 28%, Milan 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torino) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torino) ✗ Under 2.5
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