Casertana 1-3 Juventus II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
23%
2.94
Away
34%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.08
6+ Goals
7%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.9pp
23%
Draw
30%
-7.6pp
34%
Away Win
23%
+11.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casertana EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus II EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.18/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.33
-10% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casertana
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Juventus II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 1
14.05.2024 Juventus II Juventus II 0-1 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casertana
1-3
AWAY Juventus II
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Casertana vs Juventus II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus II beat Casertana 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Casertana at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Casertana had 48% of the ball to Juventus II's 52%, shots finished 13-14.

What was the final score of Casertana vs Juventus II?

Casertana 1-3 Juventus II in the Italy - Serie C on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casertana vs Juventus II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Casertana 43%, draw 23%, Juventus II 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Casertana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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