Carrarese vs Perugia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Carrarese v Perugia — Team-Based Signals
Carrarese vs Perugia Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Carrarese
İTC
Carrarese 1-2 Perugia — Actual Match Statistics
Perugia nicked a narrow win over Carrarese 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Carrarese at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Carrarese had 42% of the ball to Perugia's 58%, shots finished 14-11.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Carrarese had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Carrarese and 0.33 for Perugia.
What was the final score of Carrarese vs Perugia?
Carrarese 1-2 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Perugia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 44%, draw 27%, Perugia 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.