Carrarese vs Perugia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Carrarese v Perugia — Team-Based Signals
Carrarese vs Perugia Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Carrarese 1-2 Perugia — Actual Match Statistics
Perugia came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Carrarese 2-1 on their travels. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Carrarese at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (61%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Carrarese had 42% of the ball to Perugia's 58%, shots finished 14-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Carrarese had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Carrarese and 0.33 for Perugia.
Carrarese vs Perugia Result & Final Score
Carrarese 1 - 2 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Carrarese vs Perugia Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 43%, draw 31%, Perugia 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.