Perugia 0-2 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 May 2024

📅14/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.73
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perugia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese EU Bookmakers 29%
+22% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +8%
1.71/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.45
+30% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perugia
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Carrarese
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2024 Carrarese Carrarese 1-0 HT 0-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
25.11.2023 Perugia Perugia 1-1 HT 1-1 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perugia
0-2
AWAY Carrarese
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Perugia vs Carrarese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrarese got the better of Perugia 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Carrarese made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Perugia had 58% of the ball to Carrarese's 42%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Carrarese led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Perugia and 1.00 for Carrarese.

What was the final score of Perugia vs Carrarese?

Perugia 0-2 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie C on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perugia vs Carrarese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Perugia 40%, draw 29%, Carrarese 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Perugia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Perugia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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