Triestina 1-1 Benevento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 May 2024

📅14/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
38%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.57
6+ Goals
10%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.2pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+8.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triestina EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Benevento EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -9%
1.08/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/0.73
-12% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +59%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triestina
1-1
AWAY Benevento
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Triestina vs Benevento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triestina and Benevento couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Triestina had 41% of the ball to Benevento's 59%, shots finished 7-14.

What was the final score of Triestina vs Benevento?

Triestina 1-1 Benevento in the Italy - Serie C on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triestina vs Benevento?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Triestina 37%, draw 25%, Benevento 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Benevento), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benevento) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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