Atalanta II 0-1 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 May 2024

📅14/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.52
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.71
6+ Goals
7%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.1pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.5pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 32%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -22%
1.65/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.41
+35% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
0-1
AWAY Catania
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania edged past Atalanta II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atalanta II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Atalanta II had 60% of the ball to Catania's 40%, shots finished 10-11.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs Catania?

Atalanta II 0-1 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 43%, draw 23%, Catania 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atalanta II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İTC More Italy - Serie C
14 May 2024
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