Carrarese 1-0 Perugia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.45
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrarese EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Perugia EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.60/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.27
+21% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrarese
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Perugia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.11.2023 Perugia Perugia 1-1 HT 1-1 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
1-0
AWAY Perugia
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carrarese vs Perugia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrarese nicked a narrow win over Perugia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Carrarese as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Carrarese had 62% of the ball to Perugia's 38%, shots finished 15-9.

What was the final score of Carrarese vs Perugia?

Carrarese 1-0 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Perugia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 46%, draw 26%, Perugia 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carrarese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carrarese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
28 Mar 2024
22:45 Gubbio vs Sassari Torres Analysis →
22:45 Catania vs SSC Giugliano Analysis →
22:45 Padova Calcio vs Pergolettese Analysis →
22:45 Vis Pesaro vs Lucchese Analysis →
22:45 Fermana vs Rimini Analysis →