Fermana 3-2 Rimini — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.72
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.3
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-6.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fermana EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rimini EU Bookmakers 49%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.13/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/0.59
+7% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / +64%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fermana
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Rimini
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Rimini Rimini 1-0 HT 1-0 Fermana Fermana İTC
26.02.2023 Fermana Fermana 1-2 HT 0-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
23.10.2022 Rimini Rimini 2-2 HT 1-1 Fermana Fermana İTC
27.10.2019 Rimini Rimini 0-1 HT 0-0 Fermana Fermana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fermana
3-2
AWAY Rimini
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fermana vs Rimini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fermana squeezed past Rimini 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Fermana found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fermana had 46% of the ball to Rimini's 54%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rimini led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fermana and 1.25 for Rimini.

What was the final score of Fermana vs Rimini?

Fermana 3-2 Rimini in the Italy - Serie C on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fermana vs Rimini?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rimini win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fermana 33%, draw 28%, Rimini 39%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rimini) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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