Gubbio 1-0 Sassari Torres — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.63
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
31%
-7.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gubbio EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.43/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.14
+17% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gubbio
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Sassari Torres
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
26.11.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 3-1 HT 2-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
15.04.2023 Gubbio Gubbio 2-2 HT 2-1 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
10.12.2022 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 0-0 HT 0-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gubbio
1-0
AWAY Sassari Torres
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Gubbio vs Sassari Torres
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gubbio edged past Sassari Torres 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gubbio as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gubbio had 45% of the ball to Sassari Torres's 55%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sassari Torres led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gubbio and 1.67 for Sassari Torres.

What was the final score of Gubbio vs Sassari Torres?

Gubbio 1-0 Sassari Torres in the Italy - Serie C on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gubbio vs Sassari Torres?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gubbio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gubbio 42%, draw 23%, Sassari Torres 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gubbio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gubbio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
28 Mar 2024
22:30 Carrarese vs Perugia Analysis →
22:45 Catania vs SSC Giugliano Analysis →
22:45 Padova Calcio vs Pergolettese Analysis →
22:45 Vis Pesaro vs Lucchese Analysis →
22:45 Fermana vs Rimini Analysis →