Vis Pesaro 1-3 Lucchese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 28 Mar 2024

Vis Pesaro
1-3 HT 1-1
Lucchese
📅28/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Vis Pesaro vs Lucchese Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.96
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vis Pesaro v Lucchese — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Lucchese EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.92/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.63
-16% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +67%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

Vis Pesaro vs Lucchese Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vis Pesaro
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Lucchese
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Lucchese Lucchese 1-2 HT 0-2 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
19.02.2023 Lucchese Lucchese 3-0 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
19.10.2022 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 0-1 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
16.02.2022 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 2-1 HT 2-1 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
10.10.2021 Lucchese Lucchese 1-2 HT 1-1 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC

Vis Pesaro 1-3 Lucchese — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vis Pesaro
1-3
AWAY Lucchese
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vis Pesaro vs Lucchese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lucchese saw off Vis Pesaro 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Lucchese found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vis Pesaro had 48% of the ball to Lucchese's 52%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vis Pesaro had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Vis Pesaro and 1.40 for Lucchese.

What was the final score of Vis Pesaro vs Lucchese?

Vis Pesaro 1-3 Lucchese in the Italy - Serie C on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vis Pesaro vs Lucchese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lucchese win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vis Pesaro 31%, draw 30%, Lucchese 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lucchese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lucchese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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