Sassuolo (K) 2-3 Juventus (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
54%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
37%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
20%
+5.8pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
53%
Away Win
59%
-5.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
+62% / +62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.79/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.82
+51% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
11.3 Crosses 14.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Juventus (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.30 xG 1.72
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
238 Passes 372
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 0
20.04.2024 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
21.01.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo (K)
2-3
AWAY Juventus (K)
1.99 xG 0.39
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
271 Passes 294
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sassuolo (K) vs Juventus (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus (K) squeezed past Sassuolo (K) 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Juventus (K) as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Sassuolo (K) had 50% of the ball to Juventus (K)'s 50%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.99 to 0.39 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sassuolo (K).

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Juventus (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sassuolo (K) and 1.50 for Juventus (K).

What was the final score of Sassuolo (K) vs Juventus (K)?

Sassuolo (K) 2-3 Juventus (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo (K) vs Juventus (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Juventus (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo (K) 25%, draw 21%, Juventus (K) 53%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juventus (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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