O Connor Knights 2-1 Canberra Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.98
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
70%
-11.7pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.5pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME O Connor Knights EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra Olympic EU Bookmakers 17%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
3.98/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/3.21
+53% / +117% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME O Connor Knights
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Canberra Olympic
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.07.2023 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic 1-2 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVTCT
08.07.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 1-0 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVTCT
15.04.2023 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic 2-0 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVNPL
17.08.2022 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 0-1 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVNPL
11.06.2022 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic 1-1 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVNPL
09.04.2022 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 6-2 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVTCT
POST-MATCH O Connor Knights vs Canberra Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

O Connor Knights nicked a narrow win over Canberra Olympic 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had O Connor Knights as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, O Connor Knights had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for O Connor Knights and 1.17 for Canberra Olympic.

What was the final score of O Connor Knights vs Canberra Olympic?

O Connor Knights 2-1 Canberra Olympic in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for O Connor Knights vs Canberra Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated a O Connor Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split O Connor Knights 58%, draw 20%, Canberra Olympic 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (O Connor Knights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (O Connor Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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