Valentine Phoenix 2-4 Maitland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
44%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.41
No
38%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
38%
-10.6pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.7pp
44%
Away Win
38%
+5.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
67%
-4.7pp
38%
BTTS No
33%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Maitland EU Bookmakers 42%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.07/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.60
-38% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valentine Phoenix
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Maitland
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Maitland Maitland 0-1 HT 0-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
17.06.2023 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 1-2 HT 0-2 Maitland Maitland AVNSW
25.03.2023 Maitland Maitland 1-3 HT 1-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
26.06.2022 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 2-3 HT 2-1 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
11.05.2022 Maitland Maitland 4-0 HT 1-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
18.07.2021 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 1-3 HT 1-2 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
POST-MATCH Valentine Phoenix vs Maitland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maitland beat Valentine Phoenix 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Maitland as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maitland led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Valentine Phoenix and 2.17 for Maitland.

What was the final score of Valentine Phoenix vs Maitland?

Valentine Phoenix 2-4 Maitland in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valentine Phoenix vs Maitland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maitland win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Valentine Phoenix 27%, draw 29%, Maitland 44%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maitland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maitland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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