Rheindorf Altach 2-2 Austria Lustenau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.54
6+ Goals
8%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 31% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.1
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
11%
16.45
X/1
18%
3.71
X/2
11%
9.78
X/X
8%
5.39
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
9%
7.85
2/X
6%
17.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.7pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rheindorf Altach EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +29%
1.73/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.34
+21% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +76%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 73%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
19.7 Crosses 13.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rheindorf Altach
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Austria Lustenau
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.53 xG 0.73
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
245 Passes 256
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2024 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-1 HT 0-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
05.12.2023 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 3-0 HT 1-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
26.08.2023 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-3 HT 0-2 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
27.05.2023 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-1 HT 1-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
08.04.2023 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 1-0 HT 0-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
12.11.2022 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 3-0 HT 2-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rheindorf Altach
2-2
AWAY Austria Lustenau
4.09 xG 0.97
49% Ball Possession 51%
23 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
231 Passes 260
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rheindorf Altach vs Austria Lustenau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rheindorf Altach and Austria Lustenau shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rheindorf Altach at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rheindorf Altach had 49% of the ball to Austria Lustenau's 51%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 4.09 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rheindorf Altach had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rheindorf Altach and 0.83 for Austria Lustenau.

What was the final score of Rheindorf Altach vs Austria Lustenau?

Rheindorf Altach 2-2 Austria Lustenau in the Austria - Bundesliga on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rheindorf Altach vs Austria Lustenau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rheindorf Altach win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Rheindorf Altach 50%, draw 25%, Austria Lustenau 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rheindorf Altach) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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